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As the EV market races toward $2.76 trillion: Japan’s opportunity is not on the vehicle leaderboard, but in “the invisible layer”

A global EV market projection covering 2026–2035 puts the terminal scale at $2.76 trillion and the compound growth rate at 10.82%. But what truly deserves the attention of Japanese industry is not the growth rate itself, but that the incremental growth is shifting from passenger cars to trucks, from individual consumption to commercial operations, and from mechanical engineering to AI and grid coordination. This means the center of competition is drifting upstream along the value chain—and that is precisely where Japan’s industrial base is strongest.

Mobility Future09/12/2026, 20:388 min read
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Mobility Future

As the EV market races toward $2.76 trillion: Japan’s opportunity is not on the vehicle leaderboard, but in “the invisible layer”

A global EV market projection covering 2026–2035 puts the terminal scale at $2.76 trillion and the compound growth rate at 10.82%. But what truly deserves the attention of Japanese industry is not the growth rate itself, but that the incremental growth is shifting from passenger cars to trucks, from individual consumption to commercial operations, and from mechanical engineering to AI and grid coordination. This means the center of competition is drifting upstream along the value chain—and that is precisely where Japan’s industrial base is strongest.

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